2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 7:30 PM · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
North Texas @ Navy
Predicted scoreToss-up
North Texas
30.2
Navy
28.5
Navy win probability: 46%
Margin (Navy − North Texas): -1.6 (80% range -21 to 19)
Total: 58.7 (80% range 34 to 85)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:48 PM | -1.6 | 58.7 | 46% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:56 PM | -1.6 | 58.7 | 46% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:56 PM | -1.6 | 58.7 | 46% |