2023 Week 15 · Dec 9, 2023, 8:00 PM · Gillette Stadium (neutral site)

Navy @ Army

Predicted scoreToss-up

Navy

17.1

Army

18.0

Army win probability: 53%

Margin (Army − Navy): 0.9 (80% range -17 to 18)

Total: 35.2 (80% range 17 to 55)

Actual: Navy 11 – Army 17 (margin error 5.1, total error 7.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.