2023 Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023, 6:00 PM · Jerry Richardson Stadium

Navy @ Charlotte

Predicted scoreToss-up

Navy

26.0

Charlotte

24.6

Charlotte win probability: 46%

Margin (Charlotte − Navy): -1.4 (80% range -21 to 18)

Total: 50.6 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Navy 14 – Charlotte 0 (margin error 12.6, total error 36.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.