Predicted scoreLikely
Navy
29.7
Temple
17.2
Temple win probability: 21%
Margin (Temple − Navy): -12.4 (80% range -32 to 7)
Total: 46.9 (80% range 26 to 69)
Actual: Navy 18 – Temple 32 (margin error 26.4, total error 3.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 14 | 0.84% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.84% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.84% |
| 24 | 7 | 0.81% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.80% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.