2025 Week 10 · Nov 1, 2025, 4:00 PM · DATCU Stadium
Navy @ North Texas
Predicted scoreLean
Navy
26.1
North Texas
32.8
North Texas win probability: 66%
Margin (North Texas − Navy): 6.7 (80% range -14 to 28)
Total: 58.9 (80% range 35 to 85)
Actual: Navy 17 – North Texas 31 (margin error 7.3, total error 10.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.