App State
Sun Belt
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ North Carolina | 40–34 | 30.7–20.3 | 4.4 |
| Week 3 | vs East Carolina | 28–43 | 24.9–33.5 | 6.4 |
| Week 4 | @ Wyoming | 22–19 | 27.2–27.6 | 3.3 |
| Week 5 | @ UL Monroe | 40–41 | 22.8–31.3 | 7.6 |
| Week 7 | vs Coastal Carolina | 27–24 | 26.2–27.5 | 4.3 |
| Week 8 | @ Old Dominion | 28–21 | 26.0–26.5 | 7.5 |
| Week 9 | vs Southern Miss | 38–48 | 21.7–32.0 | 0.3 |
| Week 10 | vs Marshall | 9–31 | 25.6–26.1 | 21.5 |
| Week 11 | @ Georgia State | 14–42 | 31.9–27.6 | 32.4 |
| Week 12 | @ James Madison | 23–26 | 35.5–24.9 | 13.7 |
| Week 13 | vs Georgia Southern | 27–55 | 25.6–32.0 | 21.6 |
| Week 14 | @ Troy | 49–23 | 30.6–23.6 | 19.0 |
| Week 1 | vs Miami (OH) | 9–13 | 23.2–31.7 | 4.6 |