App State
Sun Belt
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Clemson | 66–20 | 33.9–21.2 | 33.2 |
| Week 3 | @ East Carolina | 19–21 | 30.4–28.2 | 4.2 |
| Week 4 | vs South Alabama | 48–14 | 29.4–29.6 | 34.2 |
| Week 6 | @ Marshall | 52–37 | 30.9–23.8 | 8.0 |
| Week 7 | @ Louisiana | 34–24 | 33.1–25.0 | 1.9 |
| Week 9 | vs Georgia State | 26–33 | 28.4–27.9 | 7.5 |
| Week 10 | vs Old Dominion | 20–28 | 30.8–25.2 | 13.6 |
| Week 11 | @ Coastal Carolina | 38–24 | 28.9–26.4 | 11.4 |
| Week 13 | vs James Madison | 20–34 | 32.8–23.5 | 23.2 |
| Week 14 | @ Georgia Southern | 29–20 | 31.3–24.6 | 2.3 |