2024 Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024, 7:30 PM · Joan C. Edwards Stadium

App State @ Marshall

Predicted scoreLean

App State

23.8

Marshall

30.9

Marshall win probability: 67%

Margin (Marshall − App State): 7.0 (80% range -14 to 28)

Total: 54.7 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: App State 37 – Marshall 52 (margin error 8.0, total error 34.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.