2024 Week 11 · Nov 8, 2024, 1:00 AM · Brooks Stadium (SC)

App State @ Coastal Carolina

Predicted scoreToss-up

App State

26.4

Coastal Carolina

28.9

Coastal Carolina win probability: 56%

Margin (Coastal Carolina − App State): 2.6 (80% range -18 to 24)

Total: 55.3 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: App State 24 – Coastal Carolina 38 (margin error 11.4, total error 6.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.