2024 Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024, 11:00 PM · Allen E. Paulson Stadium

App State @ Georgia Southern

Predicted scoreLean

App State

24.6

Georgia Southern

31.3

Georgia Southern win probability: 66%

Margin (Georgia Southern − App State): 6.7 (80% range -14 to 28)

Total: 55.9 (80% range 31 to 81)

Actual: App State 20 – Georgia Southern 29 (margin error 2.3, total error 6.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.