2024 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024, 7:30 PM · Kidd Brewer Stadium

James Madison @ App State

Predicted scoreLikely

James Madison

32.8

App State

23.5

App State win probability: 28%

Margin (App State − James Madison): -9.2 (80% range -31 to 11)

Total: 56.3 (80% range 31 to 82)

Actual: James Madison 20 – App State 34 (margin error 23.2, total error 2.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.