App State
Sun Belt
2016 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2016
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Tennessee | 20–13 | — | — |
| Week 2 | vs Old Dominion | 7–31 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs Miami | 45–10 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ Akron | 38–45 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs Georgia State | 3–17 | — | — |
| Week 7 | @ Louisiana | 0–24 | — | — |
| Week 8 | vs Idaho | 19–37 | — | — |
| Week 9 | @ Georgia Southern | 10–34 | — | — |
| Week 10 | vs Texas State | 10–35 | — | — |
| Week 11 | @ Troy | 28–24 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs UL Monroe | 17–42 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ New Mexico State | 7–37 | — | — |
| Week 1 | @ Toledo | 28–31 | — | — |