2024 Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024, 5:00 PM · Kidd Brewer Stadium

Georgia State @ App State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Georgia State

28.4

App State

27.9

App State win probability: 49%

Margin (App State − Georgia State): -0.5 (80% range -21 to 20)

Total: 56.3 (80% range 33 to 82)

Actual: Georgia State 26 – App State 33 (margin error 7.5, total error 2.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.