Predicted scoreLean
App State
25.0
Louisiana
33.1
Louisiana win probability: 69%
Margin (Louisiana − App State): 8.1 (80% range -13 to 29)
Total: 58.1 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: App State 24 – Louisiana 34 (margin error 1.9, total error 0.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.