2023 Week 7 · Oct 10, 2023, 11:30 PM · Kidd Brewer Stadium

Coastal Carolina @ App State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Coastal Carolina

26.2

App State

27.5

App State win probability: 54%

Margin (App State − Coastal Carolina): 1.3 (80% range -18 to 21)

Total: 53.7 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Coastal Carolina 27 – App State 24 (margin error 4.3, total error 2.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.