2023 Postseason · Dec 16, 2023, 8:30 PM · FBC Mortgage Stadium (neutral site)

Miami (OH) @ App State

Predicted scoreLikely

Miami (OH)

23.2

App State

31.7

App State win probability: 70%

Margin (App State − Miami (OH)): 8.6 (80% range -11 to 28)

Total: 54.9 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Miami (OH) 9 – App State 13 (margin error 4.6, total error 32.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.