2023 Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023, 11:00 PM · S.B. Ballard Stadium

App State @ Old Dominion

Predicted scoreToss-up

App State

26.5

Old Dominion

26.0

Old Dominion win probability: 49%

Margin (Old Dominion − App State): -0.5 (80% range -21 to 20)

Total: 52.5 (80% range 30 to 77)

Actual: App State 21 – Old Dominion 28 (margin error 7.5, total error 3.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.