2023 Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023, 8:30 PM · Kidd Brewer Stadium

Georgia Southern @ App State

Predicted scoreLean

Georgia Southern

25.6

App State

32.0

App State win probability: 65%

Margin (App State − Georgia Southern): 6.4 (80% range -14 to 28)

Total: 57.6 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: Georgia Southern 27 – App State 55 (margin error 21.6, total error 24.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.