Predicted scoreToss-up
App State
27.6
Wyoming
27.2
Wyoming win probability: 49%
Margin (Wyoming − App State): -0.3 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 54.8 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: App State 19 – Wyoming 22 (margin error 3.3, total error 13.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.