2023 Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023, 7:00 PM · Bridgeforth Stadium

App State @ James Madison

Predicted scoreLikely

App State

24.9

James Madison

35.5

James Madison win probability: 74%

Margin (James Madison − App State): 10.7 (80% range -11 to 32)

Total: 60.4 (80% range 36 to 86)

Actual: App State 26 – James Madison 23 (margin error 13.7, total error 11.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.