Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Wisconsin | 42–10 | 39.6–14.4 | 6.8 |
| Week 3 | @ Nevada | 13–14 | 34.5–25.2 | 10.3 |
| Week 4 | vs Marshall | 42–28 | 31.4–25.4 | 8.0 |
| Week 5 | @ Kennesaw State | 24–16 | 28.0–25.8 | 5.8 |
| Week 7 | vs Missouri State | 22–20 | 29.5–25.3 | 2.3 |
| Week 9 | @ Delaware | 31–28 | 33.6–21.5 | 9.1 |
| Week 10 | vs Jacksonville State | 24–21 | 33.7–23.8 | 6.9 |
| Week 11 | vs Florida International | 56–30 | 25.6–26.8 | 27.2 |
| Week 12 | @ Western Kentucky | 42–26 | 33.0–23.8 | 6.7 |
| Week 13 | vs Sam Houston | 17–31 | 26.2–28.1 | 12.1 |
| Week 14 | @ New Mexico State | 24–31 | 31.6–26.3 | 12.4 |