Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Ole Miss | 52–3 | 43.0–14.9 | 20.9 |
| Week 3 | vs Western Kentucky | 49–21 | 28.4–24.0 | 23.6 |
| Week 4 | vs Duke | 45–17 | 37.4–19.8 | 10.4 |
| Week 5 | @ Memphis | 24–7 | 42.1–22.9 | 2.2 |
| Week 7 | @ Louisiana Tech | 48–21 | 27.9–25.5 | 24.6 |
| Week 8 | vs Kennesaw State | 5–14 | 25.3–29.7 | 4.6 |
| Week 9 | @ Jacksonville State | 42–20 | 36.9–22.3 | 7.4 |
| Week 10 | @ UTEP | 13–20 | 28.5–25.3 | 10.2 |
| Week 11 | vs Liberty | 37–17 | 30.9–25.2 | 14.3 |
| Week 13 | vs New Mexico State | 36–21 | 28.3–30.8 | 17.5 |
| Week 14 | @ Florida International | 35–24 | 28.4–24.9 | 7.5 |