Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
2021 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2021
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Virginia Tech | 35–14 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ UTSA | 27–13 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ Charlotte | 42–39 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs Marshall | 28–34 | — | — |
| Week 6 | @ Liberty | 41–13 | — | — |
| Week 8 | @ UConn | 13–44 | — | — |
| Week 9 | vs Southern Miss | 10–35 | — | — |
| Week 10 | @ Western Kentucky | 48–21 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs Florida International | 10–50 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs Old Dominion | 24–17 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ Florida Atlantic | 17–27 | — | — |
| Week 1 | @ Toledo | 24–31 | — | — |