Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Alabama | 56–7 | 45.0–9.4 | 13.4 |
| Week 2 | @ Missouri | 23–19 | 36.7–17.3 | 15.4 |
| Week 4 | vs Colorado State | 31–23 | 22.7–29.7 | 15.0 |
| Week 5 | @ Western Kentucky | 31–10 | 32.2–25.0 | 13.9 |
| Week 6 | vs Jacksonville State | 45–30 | 28.0–27.0 | 14.0 |
| Week 7 | vs Louisiana Tech | 23–31 | 25.0–30.2 | 2.8 |
| Week 8 | @ Liberty | 42–35 | 32.9–23.9 | 2.0 |
| Week 10 | @ New Mexico State | 13–7 | 28.2–29.4 | 7.2 |
| Week 11 | vs Florida International | 6–40 | 19.3–31.9 | 21.4 |
| Week 12 | vs UTEP | 30–34 | 24.4–30.1 | 1.8 |
| Week 13 | @ Sam Houston | 23–20 | 25.3–25.8 | 3.5 |