Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
2016 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2016
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Vanderbilt | 47–24 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ Bowling Green | 21–41 | — | — |
| Week 4 | vs Louisiana Tech | 34–38 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ North Texas | 13–30 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs Western Kentucky | 44–43 | — | — |
| Week 8 | @ Missouri | 45–51 | — | — |
| Week 9 | @ Florida International | 35–42 | — | — |
| Week 10 | vs UTSA | 45–25 | — | — |
| Week 11 | @ Marshall | 42–17 | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ Charlotte | 31–38 | — | — |
| Week 13 | vs Florida Atlantic | 56–77 | — | — |
| Week 1 | vs Hawai'i | 52–35 | — | — |