2023 Week 6 · Oct 5, 2023, 12:00 AM · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium

Jacksonville State @ Middle Tennessee

Predicted scoreToss-up

Jacksonville State

28.0

Middle Tennessee

27.0

Middle Tennessee win probability: 47%

Margin (Middle Tennessee − Jacksonville State): -1.0 (80% range -21 to 20)

Total: 55.0 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Jacksonville State 45 – Middle Tennessee 30 (margin error 14.0, total error 20.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.