2023 Week 7 · Oct 10, 2023, 11:00 PM · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium

Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee

Predicted scoreLean

Louisiana Tech

25.0

Middle Tennessee

30.2

Middle Tennessee win probability: 62%

Margin (Middle Tennessee − Louisiana Tech): 5.2 (80% range -15 to 26)

Total: 55.2 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Louisiana Tech 23 – Middle Tennessee 31 (margin error 2.8, total error 1.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.