2024 Week 7 · Oct 11, 2024, 12:00 AM · Joe Aillet Stadium

Middle Tennessee @ Louisiana Tech

Predicted scoreToss-up

Middle Tennessee

25.5

Louisiana Tech

27.9

Louisiana Tech win probability: 56%

Margin (Louisiana Tech − Middle Tennessee): 2.4 (80% range -18 to 23)

Total: 53.3 (80% range 30 to 78)

Actual: Middle Tennessee 21 – Louisiana Tech 48 (margin error 24.6, total error 15.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.