2024 Week 9 · Oct 23, 2024, 11:30 PM · AmFirst Stadium

Middle Tennessee @ Jacksonville State

Predicted scoreLikely

Middle Tennessee

22.3

Jacksonville State

36.9

Jacksonville State win probability: 81%

Margin (Jacksonville State − Middle Tennessee): 14.6 (80% range -7 to 36)

Total: 59.2 (80% range 35 to 85)

Actual: Middle Tennessee 20 – Jacksonville State 42 (margin error 7.4, total error 2.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.