2024 Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024, 7:30 PM · Sun Bowl
Middle Tennessee @ UTEP
Predicted scoreToss-up
Middle Tennessee
25.3
UTEP
28.5
UTEP win probability: 58%
Margin (UTEP − Middle Tennessee): 3.2 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 53.7 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Middle Tennessee 20 – UTEP 13 (margin error 10.2, total error 20.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.