2024 Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024, 8:15 PM · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

Middle Tennessee @ Ole Miss

Predicted scoreConfident

Middle Tennessee

14.9

Ole Miss

43.0

Ole Miss win probability: 96%

Margin (Ole Miss − Middle Tennessee): 28.1 (80% range 7 to 49)

Total: 58.0 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: Middle Tennessee 3 – Ole Miss 52 (margin error 20.9, total error 3.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.