2024 Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024, 7:00 PM · Pitbull Stadium (neutral site)

Middle Tennessee @ Florida International

Predicted scoreToss-up

Middle Tennessee

24.9

Florida International

28.4

Florida International win probability: 58%

Margin (Florida International − Middle Tennessee): 3.5 (80% range -17 to 24)

Total: 53.3 (80% range 30 to 78)

Actual: Middle Tennessee 24 – Florida International 35 (margin error 7.5, total error 5.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.