2024 Week 8 · Oct 16, 2024, 12:00 AM · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium

Kennesaw State @ Middle Tennessee

Predicted scoreLean

Kennesaw State

25.3

Middle Tennessee

29.7

Middle Tennessee win probability: 61%

Margin (Middle Tennessee − Kennesaw State): 4.4 (80% range -16 to 25)

Total: 55.0 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Kennesaw State 5 – Middle Tennessee 14 (margin error 4.6, total error 36.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.