2025 Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025, 8:00 PM · Camp Randall Stadium

Middle Tennessee @ Wisconsin

Predicted scoreConfident

Middle Tennessee

14.4

Wisconsin

39.6

Wisconsin win probability: 94%

Margin (Wisconsin − Middle Tennessee): 25.2 (80% range 4 to 46)

Total: 54.0 (80% range 31 to 78)

Actual: Middle Tennessee 10 – Wisconsin 42 (margin error 6.8, total error 2.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.