2025 Week 9 · Oct 22, 2025, 11:30 PM · Delaware Stadium
Middle Tennessee @ Delaware
Predicted scoreLikely
Middle Tennessee
21.5
Delaware
33.6
Delaware win probability: 78%
Margin (Delaware − Middle Tennessee): 12.1 (80% range -7 to 32)
Total: 55.2 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Middle Tennessee 28 – Delaware 31 (margin error 9.1, total error 3.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.