Michigan State
Big Ten
2026 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Upcoming forecasts
| Week | Opponent | Predicted score | Win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Toledo | 23.8–26.6 | 57% |
| Week 2 | vs Eastern Michigan | 20.8–33.3 | 78% |
| Week 3 | @ Notre Dame | 36.2–14.5 | 8% |
| Week 4 | vs Nebraska | 26.8–25.1 | 45% |
| Week 5 | @ Wisconsin | 25.5–21.1 | 39% |
| Week 6 | vs Illinois | 28.6–23.6 | 37% |
| Week 7 | vs Northwestern | 26.1–23.8 | 44% |
| Week 8 | @ UCLA | 27.5–24.6 | 43% |
| Week 10 | @ Michigan | 30.9–19.3 | 23% |
| Week 11 | vs Washington | 28.1–21.5 | 34% |
| Week 12 | vs Oregon | 34.1–19.1 | 17% |
| Week 13 | @ Rutgers | 30.4–29.2 | 47% |
Past prediction accuracy — 2026
No completed, graded games for 2026 yet.