Michigan State
Big Ten
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Florida Atlantic | 10–16 | 19.6–31.4 | 5.7 |
| Week 2 | @ Maryland | 24–27 | 30.8–22.0 | 11.8 |
| Week 4 | @ Boston College | 23–19 | 27.0–25.5 | 2.5 |
| Week 5 | vs Ohio State | 38–7 | 38.1–15.4 | 8.3 |
| Week 6 | @ Oregon | 31–10 | 36.8–17.0 | 1.2 |
| Week 8 | vs Iowa | 20–32 | 22.5–20.0 | 14.5 |
| Week 9 | @ Michigan | 24–17 | 28.9–17.4 | 4.4 |
| Week 10 | vs Indiana | 47–10 | 31.6–26.0 | 31.4 |
| Week 12 | @ Illinois | 38–16 | 27.6–22.2 | 16.6 |
| Week 13 | vs Purdue | 17–24 | 22.2–32.3 | 3.2 |
| Week 14 | vs Rutgers | 41–14 | 28.8–26.4 | 24.6 |