Michigan State
Big Ten
2016 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2016
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 | @ Notre Dame | 28–36 | — | — |
| Week 4 | vs Wisconsin | 30–6 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ Indiana | 24–21 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs BYU | 31–14 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs Northwestern | 54–40 | — | — |
| Week 8 | @ Maryland | 28–17 | — | — |
| Week 9 | vs Michigan | 32–23 | — | — |
| Week 10 | @ Illinois | 31–27 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs Rutgers | 0–49 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs Ohio State | 17–16 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ Penn State | 45–12 | — | — |