Michigan State
Big Ten
2021 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2021
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Northwestern | 21–38 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ Miami | 17–38 | — | — |
| Week 4 | vs Nebraska | 20–23 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs Western Kentucky | 31–48 | — | — |
| Week 6 | @ Rutgers | 13–31 | — | — |
| Week 7 | @ Indiana | 15–20 | — | — |
| Week 9 | vs Michigan | 33–37 | — | — |
| Week 10 | @ Purdue | 40–29 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs Maryland | 21–40 | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ Ohio State | 56–7 | — | — |
| Week 13 | vs Penn State | 27–30 | — | — |
| Week 1 | vs Pittsburgh | 21–31 | — | — |