2024 Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024, 8:30 PM · Spartan Stadium
Rutgers @ Michigan State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Rutgers
28.8
Michigan State
26.4
Michigan State win probability: 44%
Margin (Michigan State − Rutgers): -2.4 (80% range -23 to 18)
Total: 55.2 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Rutgers 41 – Michigan State 14 (margin error 24.6, total error 0.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.61% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.61% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.59% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.