2024 Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024, 7:30 PM · SECU Stadium
Michigan State @ Maryland
Predicted scoreLikely
Michigan State
22.0
Maryland
30.8
Maryland win probability: 71%
Margin (Maryland − Michigan State): 8.8 (80% range -11 to 29)
Total: 52.7 (80% range 30 to 77)
Actual: Michigan State 27 – Maryland 24 (margin error 11.8, total error 1.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.