2024 Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024, 1:00 AM · Autzen Stadium
Michigan State @ Oregon
Predicted scoreConfident
Michigan State
17.0
Oregon
36.8
Oregon win probability: 89%
Margin (Oregon − Michigan State): 19.8 (80% range 0 to 41)
Total: 53.8 (80% range 31 to 78)
Actual: Michigan State 10 – Oregon 31 (margin error 1.2, total error 12.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 10 | 35 | 0.75% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.71% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.