2024 Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024, 7:30 PM · Spartan Stadium
Indiana @ Michigan State
Predicted scoreLean
Indiana
31.6
Michigan State
26.0
Michigan State win probability: 37%
Margin (Michigan State − Indiana): -5.6 (80% range -27 to 15)
Total: 57.5 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Indiana 47 – Michigan State 10 (margin error 31.4, total error 0.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.61% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.