2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM · Rose Bowl
Michigan State @ UCLA
Predicted scoreToss-up
Michigan State
24.6
UCLA
27.5
UCLA win probability: 57%
Margin (UCLA − Michigan State): 2.9 (80% range -17 to 23)
Total: 52.1 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:53 PM | 2.9 | 52.1 | 57% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:51 PM | 2.8 | 52.1 | 57% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:32 PM | 2.9 | 52.1 | 57% |