2026 Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 7:30 PM · Spartan Stadium
Eastern Michigan @ Michigan State
Predicted scoreLikely
Eastern Michigan
20.8
Michigan State
33.3
Michigan State win probability: 78%
Margin (Michigan State − Eastern Michigan): 12.6 (80% range -7 to 33)
Total: 54.1 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:23 PM | 12.4 | 54.2 | 78% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:27 PM | 12.4 | 54.3 | 78% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:35 PM | 12.6 | 54.1 | 78% |