2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · SHI Stadium
Michigan State @ Rutgers
Predicted scoreToss-up
Michigan State
29.2
Rutgers
30.4
Rutgers win probability: 53%
Margin (Rutgers − Michigan State): 1.2 (80% range -20 to 22)
Total: 59.6 (80% range 35 to 86)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.57% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:08 PM | 1.2 | 59.6 | 53% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:09 PM | 1.2 | 59.6 | 53% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:21 PM | 1.2 | 59.6 | 53% |