Liberty

Conference USA

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ Kennesaw State	22.9–29.1	65%
Week 9	vs Florida International	19.7–27.2	69%
Week 10	@ New Mexico State	24.0–29.4	63%
Week 11	vs Middle Tennessee	20.0–35.0	83%
Week 12	vs Western Kentucky	21.2–29.7	71%
Week 13	@ Missouri State	21.5–29.4	70%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ James Madison	20–13	36.2–16.4	12.8
Week 2	vs Gardner-Webb	23–24	—	—
Week 3	vs Ball State	15–51	19.6–32.7	22.9
Week 4	@ Coastal Carolina	17–34	25.0–26.9	15.1
Week 5	@ Delaware	14–30	24.0–29.5	10.4
Week 6	vs Sam Houston	3–35	21.1–33.2	19.9