2026 Week 8 · Oct 22, 2026, 11:00 PM · Fifth Third Stadium
Liberty @ Kennesaw State
Predicted scoreLean
Liberty
29.1
Kennesaw State
22.9
Kennesaw State win probability: 35%
Margin (Kennesaw State − Liberty): -6.1 (80% range -26 to 14)
Total: 52.0 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.72% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:46 PM | 4.5 | 53.9 | 61% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:46 PM | 4.5 | 53.9 | 61% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:24 PM | 4.6 | 53.9 | 61% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:47:39 AM | 4.5 | 53.9 | 61% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:09 PM | 4.7 | 53.9 | 61% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:01:59 PM | 4.6 | 53.4 | 62% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:55:33 PM | 2.2 | 54.8 | 55% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:58:24 PM | -0.0 | 55.2 | 50% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:02 PM | 0.1 | 55.2 | 50% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:59:38 AM | 0.1 | 55.2 | 51% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:38:15 PM | 0.1 | 55.2 | 51% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:32:14 PM | -5.0 | 53.3 | 38% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:46:39 PM | -4.8 | 52.0 | 38% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:01 PM | -7.2 | 52.8 | 32% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:22:58 PM | -6.1 | 52.0 | 35% |