2026 Week 8 · Oct 22, 2026, 11:00 PM · Fifth Third Stadium
Liberty @ Kennesaw State
Predicted scoreLean
Liberty
24.7
Kennesaw State
29.2
Kennesaw State win probability: 61%
Margin (Kennesaw State − Liberty): 4.6 (80% range -15 to 25)
Total: 53.9 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:46 PM | 4.5 | 53.9 | 61% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:46 PM | 4.5 | 53.9 | 61% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:24 PM | 4.6 | 53.9 | 61% |