2026 Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026, 4:00 PM · Bridgeforth Stadium
Liberty @ James Madison
Predicted scoreConfident
Liberty
16.3
James Madison
36.2
James Madison win probability: 90%
Margin (James Madison − Liberty): 20.0 (80% range 0 to 41)
Total: 52.5 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.75% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.74% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:10 PM | 19.8 | 52.6 | 90% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:14 PM | 18.7 | 52.4 | 88% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:25:56 PM | 20.0 | 52.5 | 90% |