2026 Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 7:30 PM · Williams Stadium (VA)
Florida International @ Liberty
Predicted scoreToss-up
Florida International
24.9
Liberty
27.0
Liberty win probability: 56%
Margin (Liberty − Florida International): 2.1 (80% range -18 to 22)
Total: 52.0 (80% range 29 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:00 PM | 2.1 | 52.0 | 56% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:10 PM | 2.1 | 52.0 | 56% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:37 PM | 2.1 | 52.0 | 56% |